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#856 Frank Keil: The Development of Causal Thinking, Explanation, and the Institution of Science

The Dissenter

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Are Humans Truly Bayesian Reasoners?

This chapter discusses the question of whether humans are truly Bayesian reasoners when it comes to handling uncertainty and challenges the traditional Bayesian views. It explores how human thinking switches as situations become more complicated and how people often simplify probabilities to yes or no. The chapter also highlights current areas of Bayesian research and the inclusion of non-Bayesian elements to make computational models more compatible with human minds.

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