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The Past and Future of Polling ft. G Elliott Morris

The New Liberal Podcast

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Why the Poles Aren't Biased in the Elections?

In theory, in our perfect world, that wouldn't happen. There's so many different poles being run, that standard of error should never go the same way every single time. So how does it end up happening in 20 16 and 20 20? What's the story behind that bias? Yes, the story i tell in the book about the rise of poling aggregation is, ah, what's in forming this idea that if you average the poles together, on average, they shouldn't be biased. But this motivating idea for pulling aggregation is wrong. It was never true.

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