Is There a Causal Connection?

We tell ourselves these complex narratives that seem to fit whatever information is in front of us. That very much creates a risk that the narrative as emotional and impelling as it might be, is possibly misleading. I think nasim taleb has a very nice example in his in his book, the black swan. And what happens, and commentators on bloomburg radio and all other pundits, what they do there is a salient event to day. It's always i it makes a good story.