Flip Pidot, founder of American Civics Exchange, joins the podcast to discuss trends in polling and prediction markets and why these are increasingly pointing to victory for Donald Trump -- and a Republican sweep of Congress.
This podcast episode was recorded on Oct. 22, 2024, and made available for premium subscribers that same day -- without ads or announcements. More information on premium membership options is available on our Substack page. Content Highlights
- What started as a toss-up has quickly moved to resounding victory for Trump (1:38);
- About $40 million-worth of pro-Trump bets have flooded prediction markets in recent weeks (4:55);
- Early vote data is also clearly favoring Trump (12:58);
- Background on the guest (23:05);
- If the outcome of the election is close, either side is likely to immediately challenge the results in court (34:30);
- Fortunately, the guest views the likelihood as remote (40:28)
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