The Future of Politics

There is a very big anti-conservative majority expressing itself repeatedly in the polls. Even under first past the post, that will be punishing for the Tories if sustained at a general election as it was in these local elections. In that sense, the general election you'd be better off thinking about is 1964 - a long-standing Conservative government giving way to a narrow Labour majority. Or perhaps more opposite still, is 2010 -- an unpopular long-standing government with winded his sails, but with a huge electoral mountain to climb. That of course takes you into potential coalition territory. This is the news agents. Welcome back.