2min chapter

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182: How to identify high probability markets - David Steets

Better System Trader

CHAPTER

Is This the Current Probability Map for the Market Today or What Date?

I've always been struggling with in the past to put together many, many data points and ideas into a systematic model. And what I've come up with to help myself is to develop a framework where I can use whatever works really well at the moment. That hopefully has higher and more consistent returns than just a simple long-term investment or buy and hold investment. So it shows a slightly negative expected return over the next month. When the needle is just pointing up, it's 50-50. In this case, I would aim to be slightly net short overall with my entire portfolio.

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