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182: How to identify high probability markets - David Steets

Better System Trader

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Is This the Current Probability Map for the Market Today or What Date?

I've always been struggling with in the past to put together many, many data points and ideas into a systematic model. And what I've come up with to help myself is to develop a framework where I can use whatever works really well at the moment. That hopefully has higher and more consistent returns than just a simple long-term investment or buy and hold investment. So it shows a slightly negative expected return over the next month. When the needle is just pointing up, it's 50-50. In this case, I would aim to be slightly net short overall with my entire portfolio.

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