The chapter provides an in-depth analysis of how demographic shifts in key states like Wisconsin, Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Georgia can impact election outcomes beyond just Trump vs. Biden scenarios. It explores the evolving landscape of American politics, highlighting the complexity of predicting electoral results based on shifting trends in polling data and voter groups.
On this solar eclipse day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tests their polling knowledge on the rare celestial event with a special edition of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also preview 538’s new Swing-O-Matic, a tool that lets you model demographic changes in the 2024 election and see their resulting electoral impacts. And in our latest installment of the 2024 VP draft, the crew takes a guess at who could be former President Donald Trump’s pick for the position.
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