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What's the Best Case Senaria?
We don't know how this is going to end, or if it's going to end. It's quite possible that russia will consolidate its gains in eastern ukrane,. And we'll stay there without having some kind of formal end to this war. The path of least resistance here is clearly a repetition of 20 14. Both sides continue to take action, and the conflicts or rumbles on at a low level. I'm not sure either side is willing to accept that any time soon.