Russia is now more brittle than it has ever been, I think, in the post-Soviet history. People want to change at the top and most of all, people want for this war to stop. A relatively small proportion of people, about 20% of the country, actually want to carry on. If he were to go, how do you think that would unfold? The elite could revolt, we could see a palace coup,. But short of that, my base scenario is that Russia becomes ungovernable because Putin is increasingly ruling by executive orders.