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The Cycle in Attitudes Towards Risk
Investing at its core is the art of bearing some level of risk in pursuit of a profit. Investors generally try to position themselves to profit from future developments rather than being penalized by them. In year today, 2023, we have positive 11%. Typically, we're trying to find out where 2023 turns out in another six months to see whether greed or fear prevails in the markets.
On today’s episode, Clay reviews Howard Marks’ book – Mastering the Market Cycle. This is a wonderful book for understanding market cycles and where we are at in the cycle at any given time. Most investors aren’t aware of the cyclicality of markets and are prone to fall victim to greed and fear at the exact wrong times. Superior investors are aware of markets cycles, and position themselves to profit from them.
IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro.
03:32 - Why it’s important to understand market cycles to be a superior investor.
11:05 - What drives market cycles and why they exist.
23:14 - How to think about the economic cycle, and the governments role in managing the economic cycles.
30:53 - How to identify where we are at in a market cycle.
32:08 - Why the market’s mood resembles that of a pendulum swinging back and forth.
32:30 - Why cycles are inevitable, and will likely always be a key driver of markets into the future.
38:47 - What the greatest source of investment risk is.
58:03 - What Howard Marks learned from managing billions of dollars during the great financial crisis.
58:57 - Why the credit cycle is the most volatile of all cycles, and has the greatest impact on markets.
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
BOOKS AND RESOURCES
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