Analyzing Seasonal Stock Performance and Earnings Forecasts

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The chapter delves into the historical seasonal performance of the S&P index, emphasizing the benefits of staying invested all year rather than trying to time the market based on seasonal trends. It then transitions to a discussion of analysts' tendencies to be overly optimistic on full year earnings but pessimistic on quarterly projections, examining the dynamics of managing expectations and analyzing earnings beats in the market. Additionally, the chapter explores the relationship between Big Tech R&D spending, venture capital investments, and the dominance of Big Tech in AI-related VC investments.

On this TCAF Tuesday, Josh Brown is joined by Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe, co-founders of DataTrek Research, to discuss the market making new highs, "sell in May and go away", the longest-running unsolved mystery on Wall Street, earnings, venture capital, and more! Then, at 37:49, hear an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts with Josh and Michael Batnick!

Thanks to YCharts for sponsoring this episode! YCharts is always one step ahead of the game with free resources and this time is no different. Check out their election guide and get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free YCharts trial and tell them we sent you (new customers only).

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