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Return of the Meme Stocks, Big AI Announcements, Solving a Market Mystery With Nick Colas and Jessica Rabe

The Compound and Friends

CHAPTER

Analyzing Seasonal Stock Performance and Earnings Forecasts

The chapter delves into the historical seasonal performance of the S&P index, emphasizing the benefits of staying invested all year rather than trying to time the market based on seasonal trends. It then transitions to a discussion of analysts' tendencies to be overly optimistic on full year earnings but pessimistic on quarterly projections, examining the dynamics of managing expectations and analyzing earnings beats in the market. Additionally, the chapter explores the relationship between Big Tech R&D spending, venture capital investments, and the dominance of Big Tech in AI-related VC investments.

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