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Forecasting Principles and Practice

Data Skeptic

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Is the Government Predicting the Vaccines?

We're not trying to forecast how quickly the vaccinations roll out, because who knows. It depends a lot on political decisions they get made. So we're providing full probablistic distributions. Are not just a point forecast, but we provide them whole probability distributions. There's been an education requirement there that the politicians and the chief health officers have had to learn a little bit of statistics and understand tal probabilities and things like that. They will also come back with questions about, what if we did this? What do you think would happen?

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