2min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

How broken is social science? (with Matt Grossman)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

The Importance of Teaching People to Adopt Different Thinking Habits

Phil Tetlock's book, Expert Political Judgment, was published in 2005. He says experts are bad at forecasting the future around political issues. In order to make good predictions, you have to teach people to adopt different thinking habits,. You have to have them work in groups and conveniently, I think social science is undergoing both of those processes over time.

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