3min chapter

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Existential Risk Pessimism and the Time of Perils | David Thorstad | EAGxOxford 22

EA Talks

CHAPTER

The Value of Reducing Risk by a Fraction F

The more pessimistic R you are about starting levels of risk, the less important reducing risk is. 100% reduction in risk per century is going to get infinite value here. So we at least have the possibility of astronomical value here. But it's something of a bare possibility given reasonable empirical assumptions.

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