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136: Spencer Greenberg | Cultivating Clearer Thinking for Cloudy Times
The Jordan Harbinger Show
Getting Rid of Black and White Thinking
The first step is accepting that you can never be a hundred percent sure about anything. And then there's a lot of techniques you can do to build on that to become a more nuanced, more accurate thinker. One technique I enjoy doing is actually make predicts explicit predictions and see whether they come true or not. If you practice you working in probabilities and actually track whether you're right or not, over time you can become probabilistically calibrated.
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