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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class V Part II [9.22.15]

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The Importance of Tournaments in Policy Debates

Danny Cevallos: I'm curious about your emphasis on tournaments. Why, it would seem from what you said that an organization could set up forecasting. And trained in some way to really accept the forecasting problems. So somehow it seems to me that the emphasis on tournaments is restricted and there is more to what you're proposing than tournaments. The focus here is on a societal level," he says. "I can't think of a better way of crystallizing what I see as the entrenchment, the ossification of status"

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