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108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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Expecting Short Inferential Distances

In our ancestral environment, short explanations were all that was necessary. Now we have what he calls abstract disciplines with vast bodies of carefully gathered evidence generalized into elegant theories transmitted by written books. Their conclusions are 100 inferential steps removed from universally shared background premises. It's extremely reasonable to understand that somebody will completely misunderstand what you're trying to say.

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