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Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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The Future of Cryptocurrency

No matter how private and untraceable the next generation of cryptocurrencies are, people will buy and exchange them through big corporate websites that do everything they can to stay on the government's good side. A few diehards will use pure crypto to buy drugs over the black market, but not significantly more than do so today. The government will mostly leave them alone as too boring to crush. Bitcoin is still the highest market cap cryptocurrency, 40%. 7. Someone figures out Satoshi's true identity to my satisfaction, 30%. 8. Browser crypto mining becomes a big deal and replaces ads on 10% or more of websites, 5%. End quote.

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