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21min chapter
Rajiv Sethi – Are Trump's Tariff Threats Working?
The Glenn Show
Forecasting Elections: Markets vs. Polls
This chapter explores the effectiveness of prediction markets over traditional polling in forecasting election outcomes, illustrating how real-time market data can offer superior insights. It discusses the interaction between market prices and existing predictive models, emphasizing the complexities and limitations inherent in both approaches. Additionally, the chapter delves into the ramifications of economic policies such as tariffs, highlighting the impact on global trade dynamics and the role of public intellectuals in shaping discourse.
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