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Episode 36: The Coming Recession and Monster Default Cycle; why Illiquidity is Concealing Huge Risks; the Rise of Risk-free Yield and what it Means for Asset-Allocation

Complexity Premia

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The Post-GFC Boom in Asset Prices

Don't expect the classic post-GFC boom in asset prices once the correction has passed. High-grade bonds are likely to become much more fashionable again. The risk is that central banks struggle to get inflation rates back to their surface 2% policy targets and have to precipitate very deep economic downturns. This is likely to be bad for all asset classes except cash and high-grade fixed income.

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