I always spoke about ethethe confirmation bias, ok. And it's er ramifications. The people i want to promote is the sceptical in person. An, not sceptical ind persist in the modern sense, like tapoperus talik e and minodotus of nicomediak and te sexus inpericus. For them, medicine was a soccastic process. You discover that thangs by doing. We're just good at doing s classical techne episteme from aristotle, ok? So we are not good at knowing, ok. Of course there's a hakn element, and says that hes been collectively, we're good at knowing wit, not ar
Nassim Taleb talks about the challenges of coping with uncertainty, predicting events, and understanding history. This wide-ranging conversation looks at investment, health, history and other areas where data play a key role. Taleb, the author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, imagines two countries, Mediocristan and Extremistan where the ability to understand the past and predict the future is radically different. Taleb's contention is that we often bring our intuition from Mediocristan for the events of Extremistan, leading us to error. The result is a tendency to be blind-sided by the unexpected.