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400: Making Better Decisions through Multiple Mental Models with Shane Parrish (Host of The Knowledge Project podcast)

How to Be Awesome at Your Job

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The Negative Effects of Small Changes in Initial Conditions

In our world, small changes in initial conditions can have massive sort of downstream effects. This is the proverbial sort of butterfly effect where a butterfly in Brazil, popping its wings can cause a hurricane somewhere else. One of the ways that small changes to initial conditions can cause catastrophic loss or mortgage rates increasing if you're over levered on your house. A small change in interest rates can cause you to go back to zero. But it's a way that people don't necessarily think about problems.

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