What Does Silver Backwardation Signal?

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Lobo Tiggre to the show. Lobo Tiggre is Author and Founder of the Independent Speculator Founder and CEO of Louis James LLC. The discussion centers on the current state of commodities, with a particular focus on gold, silver, copper, and uranium.

Tiggre provides a nuanced perspective on the gold market, highlighting several key factors driving its current rise. He notes central bank buying, portfolio rebalancing, and increasing mainstream interest as significant catalysts. While bullish on gold, he cautions against assuming a straight upward trajectory, emphasizing the potential for corrections. He views gold primarily as financial insurance, recommending investors consider their exposure based on global economic uncertainties.

Regarding commodities, Tiggre argues that inflationary trends and global economic transformations are creating a potential super-cycle. He is particularly enthusiastic about copper, citing strong demand from electrification, AI data centers, and significant supply constraints. He expects a multi-year, potentially multi-decade bull market in copper, though he’s waiting for strategic entry points.

Lobo also discusses uranium, presenting a bullish case driven by increasing global nuclear energy adoption and constrained supply. He sees a robust market for the next few years, barring a major nuclear incident. His investment approach remains fundamentally value-oriented, seeking opportunities when assets are undervalued. The discussion explores a broader macroeconomic perspective, with Tiggre describing a stagflationary outlook. He points to weakening labor markets and persistent inflation as key indicators, suggesting economic challenges ahead. His investment philosophy emphasizes disciplined speculation, focusing on value propositions and avoiding momentum-driven investments.

Throughout the conversation, Tiggre consistently advises investors to maintain perspective, avoid emotional decision-making, and be prepared for market fluctuations. He recommends having a strategic approach to investing, being willing to rotate between sectors, and always maintaining a critical view of market narratives.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:00:53 – Gold Market Surge
00:04:11 – Profit Taking Strategy
00:06:06 – Historical Bull Parallels
00:10:59 – Gold Bull Duration
00:12:57 – Bullion as Insurance
00:17:09 – Final Gold Bull Thesis
00:19:44 – Valuing Gold Miners
00:25:02 – Silver Price Squeeze
00:32:15 – Copper Demand Drivers
00:40:29 – Uranium Supply Constraints
00:46:55 – Critical Minerals Wars
00:53:17 – Stagflationary Environment
00:56:15 – Concluding Thoughts

Guest Links:
Website: https://independentspeculator.com
X: https://x.com/duediligenceguy
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/louis.james.965580/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lobotiggre/

Lobo Tiggre, aka Louis James, is the founder and CEO of Louis James LLC, and the principal analyst and editor of IndependentSpeculator.com. He researched and recommended speculative opportunities in Casey Research publications from 2004 to 2018, writing under the name “Louis James.” While with Casey Research, he learned the ins and outs of resource speculation from the legendary speculator Doug Casey.

Although frequently mistaken for one, Mr. Tiggre is not a professional geologist. However, his long tutelage under world-class geologists, writers, and investors resulted in an exceptional track record.

A fully transparent, documented, and verifiable track record is a central feature of the IndependentSpeculator. Mr. Tiggre will put his own money into the speculations he writes about, so his readers will always know he has “skin in the game” with them.