Is There a Gap Between Medvedev and Zverev on Hard Court?

Medvedev, Zverev and Alcaraz are the only three with a two in front of their number. Elo gets super excited about very young players who are on a winning streak,. And probably too excited. Do you really do feel that Sinner and AlcarAZ have a better chance to win Australia than some of the more traditional guys or the guys like Rublev and CT pass who are higher in the rankings? I don't know. It's something that I struggle with, especially with Alcaraz. But when Elo makes a big call like that, it tends to be right. So I want to separate those two.