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BITCOIN SEASON 2: All Your Bitcoin Models Are Broken (But Really)

CoinDesk Podcast Network

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The Bitcoin Price Prediction Paradox

This chapter explores the complexities of Bitcoin price modeling, focusing on the influential stock-to-flow model and its discrepancies with current market values. The discussion likens Bitcoin price predictions to a humorous analogy of monkeys writing Shakespeare, emphasizing the unpredictability of Bitcoin amidst economic volatility. Additionally, the chapter contrasts this with the simpler rainbow chart model, highlighting its historical success in guiding trading decisions despite the inherent challenges of price prediction.

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