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The Russo-Russian War on Ukraine
There is the possibility that they might carry out a reasonably ineffectual explosion at the nuclear power plant. So as terrible it would be environmentally, morally, it would at least mean that they had given up and all they wanted to do was scorched earth. But I think the Russians are most likely to continue to prosecute this war militarily but also to try and degrade Ukraine's economy. And their continual destruction of Ukrainian infrastructure generally. You can read James Meek's report from Kiev in the latest issue of the LRB.