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BCB114_MATT PINES: Bitcoin Blind Spots & Alien Probabilities

Blue Collar Bitcoin

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The Importance of Circumstantial Evidence

"We're at a very interesting moment because now things are kind of in limbo, right? You're like, you know, okay, I had to revise my priors upwards, but am I all the way there?" "He's made the credible signal. We'll have him on a BTV for sure," he says about Grusches' credibility. 'I would expect others not to have creases as high as me,' she adds. "[Grusches] incurred a very significant personal cost to come up with this information.'

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