The Macro Sensitivity of Assets to Rising Short-Term Rates

Is the Federal Reserve stuck between a rock and a hard place? Jared Dillian of The Daily Dirtnap argues that the monetary tightening needed to tame inflation will inflict serious damage to the economic recovery, to the point that the Fed essentially has a choice between secular inflation and severe recession.

Which door will the Fed choose? Dillian is inclined to believe that the Fed will attempt to chart a “middle path” between both options that will actually result in the dreaded stagflation - where inflation continues to rise while economic growth slows down.

Dillian tells Forward Guidance host Jack Farley why he thinks the ongoing rotation from growth stocks to value stocks will continue, and why he in particular is interesting in buying the shares of “big and ugly” companies. Dillian also shares his views on crypto, gold, and bonds.

Dillian on Twitter: @dailydirtnap

Farley on Twitter: @JackFarley96

Blockworks on Twitter: @Blockworks_