Navigating the Great Convergence

In this episode, we speak with Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management, about the firm’s 2025 Secular Outlook and the unfolding shift in global markets. Paolini argues that the era of U.S. exceptionalism is fading—and investors may be mispricing what comes next. We discuss why the “Great Convergence” could redefine asset allocation, what it means for U.S. equities and the dollar, and why now might be the time to lean into bonds and income-generating assets.

Paolini also shares his views on inflation, tariffs, AI, private markets, and the challenges of navigating a low-return, high-risk world. Whether you're a global macro watcher or a long-term investor thinking about regime shifts, this conversation offers a roadmap for the next five years.

Topics covered include:

• Why the U.S. may no longer deserve its valuation premium

• How debt and protectionism threaten global growth

• Why the next five years could see converging returns across regions and assets

• The investment case for bonds, credit, and emerging market debt

• AI’s impact on productivity and equity concentration

• The future role of gold, crypto, and private assets in portfolios