The Arguments for Acceleration Over Desaturation

I think some of the arguments are actually similar to those for desaloration. There's a case that maybe you should go much much faster now so that you break things not like horribly but enough that people kind of wake up and say like oh wow this is a big shift" He also says there might be fundamental limits to how fast we can go in terms of hardware and just the amount of compute available at all. "You never really get a chance to take a step back and say do we want to re-architect this whole thing."

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Interview: AGI and developing AI Agents with Josh Albrecht, CTO of Generally Intelligent

I’ve been spending a lot of time researching, experimenting and building AI agents lately at Parcha. That’s why I was really excited I got the chance to interview AI researcher Josh Albrecht, who is the CTO and co-founder of Generally Intelligent. Generally Intelligent’s work on AI Agents is really at the bleeding edge of where AI is headed.

In our conversation, we talk about how Josh defines AGI, how close we are to achieving it, what exactly an AI researcher does, and his company’s work on AI agents. We also hear about Josh’s investment thesis for Outset Capital, the AI venture capital fund he started with his co-founder Kanjun Qui.

Overall it was a really great interview and we covered a lot of ground in a short period of time. If you’re as excited about the potential of AI agents as I am or want to better understand where research is heading in this space, as I am this interview is definitely worth listening to in full.

Here are some of the highlights:

* Defining AGI: Josh shares his definition of AGI, which he calls Human-level AI a machine’s ability to perform tasks that require human-like understanding and problem-solving skills. It involves passing a specific set of tests that measure performance in areas like language, vision, reasoning, and decision-making.

* Generally Intelligent: General Intelligence's goal is to create more general, capable, robust, and safer AI systems. Specifically, they are focused on developing digital agents that can act on your computer, like in your web browser, desktop, and editor. These agents can autonomously complete tasks and run on top of language models like GPT. However, those language models were not created with this use case in mind, making it challenging to build fully functional digital agents.

* Emergent behavior: Josh believes that the emergent behavior we are seeing in models today can be traced back to training data. For example being back to string together chains of thought could be from transcript of gamers on Twitch.

* Memory systems: When it comes to memory systems for powerful agents, there are a few key things to consider. First of all, what do you want to store and what aspects do you want to pay attention to when you're recalling things? Josh’s view is that while it might seem like a daunting task, it turns out that this isn't actually a crazy hard problem.

* Reducing latency: One way to get around the current latency when interacting with LLMs that are following chains of thought with agentic behavior is to change user expectations. Make the agent continuously communicate updates to the user for example vs. just waiting for to provide the answer. For example, the agent could send updates during the process, saying something like "I'm working on it, I'll let you know when I have an update." This can make the user feel more reassured that the agent is working on the task, even if it's taking some time.

* Parallelizing chain of thought: Josh believes we can parallelize more of the work done by agents in chain of thought processes, asking many questions at once and then combining them to reach a final output for the user.

* AI research day-to-day: Josh shared that much of the work he does as an AI researcher is not that different from other software engineering tasks. There’s a lot of writing code, waiting to run it and then dealing with bugs. It’s still a lot faster than research in the physical sciences where you have to wait for cells to grow for example!

* Acceleration vs deceleration: Josh shared his viewpoints for both sides of the argument for accelerating vs decelerating AI. He also believes there are fundamental limits to how fast AI can be developed today and this could change a lot in 10 years as processing speeds continue to improve.

* AI regulation: We discussed how it’s challenging to regulate AI due to the open-source ecosystem.

* Universal unemployment: Josh shared his concerns that we need to get ahead of educating people on the potential societal impact of AI and how it could lead to “universal unemployment”.

* Investing in AI startups: Josh shared Outset Capital’s investment thesis and how it’s difficult to predict what moats will be most important in the future.

Episode Links:

The Hitchhiker’s Guide to AI: http://hitchhikersguidetoai.com

Generally Intelligent: http://generallyintelligent.com

Josh on Twitter: https://twitter.com/joshalbrecht

Episode Content:

00:00 Intro

01:42 What is AGI?

04:40 When will we know that we have AGI?

05:40 Self-driving cars vs AGI

07:10 Generally Intelligent's research on agents

09:51 Emergent Behaviour

11:07 Beyond language models