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Warriors GM Bob Myers on a Decade With Steph, Klay’s Progress, and How the Young Guys Fit In

The Ryen Russillo Podcast

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How to Get a Win Probability of 69 % on a Field Goal

There's more stream lining of this than i think any of us realize, unless you spend a lot of time reading about it. You can go and look at their entire fourth down decision making process and the formulas and all the numbers that go through it. Takes two seconds a week. 15 lasseas and texans colts have the football. Fourth quarter, three, 21. Remaining score is tied, 20 apiece. It is fourth and inches. So basically you're looking at something that i have an 81 % chance of converting, giving me a path to a 69 % wind probability,. versus 56 % on a field gol, that's less than 50%.

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