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Is the Turbulence in the Banking Sector Causing Banks to Curb Their Lending?
J-PAL said turmoil in the banking sector will cause banks to curb lending somewhat. That may be equivalent of tightening of a rate hike, which is pretty remarkable. But I'm not going to say it's a given that we've got, we're staring down a black hole. We're not. In my view, I think the economy is actually pretty robust in the US,. On all the indications that we have, which suggests that the economy is probably seeing a bottom. Looking at the entrails of the fixed income markets, it looks like a bottom in the economy is coming about mid year.