Several of the most recent presidential elections would have gone Democrat had the competition been for the popular vote instead of for the electoral college, Duchan Stoyanovich said in an AMA. I think that's not true, by the way, but it is a conceivable thing that could be true once we understand both the theory and the data better. You should always be a good Bayesian and have a tiny credence in alternatives. But there reaches a point where your credence is so small that it's not worth worrying about. And this is such an example. Big Bang nuclear synthesis, the cosmic microwave background, structure formation, the very basic predictions of general relativity, all offer overwhelming evidence