
Vision, Leadership and Winning the Lottery - An open-ended discussion
Not Overthinking
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What's Your Best Guess of a Corona Virus?
In a lot of these situations, people talking to the media or the media will ask someone like, what is your best guess of this thing? Like, how long do you see this thing lasting? And if the experts best estimate is like, i don't know, one month, but they think there's like, a 30 % chance it could be 12 months or something. That's very different from just having the take away that it's like, oh, so and so. Sa, it's one month great especallespecially when there is a large cost associated with these other outcomes. For example, Imagine if you were going on a flight,. and the people at the plane said
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