22min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Polling Accuracy and Voter Sentiment Analysis

The chapter explores the historical reliability of polls in predicting election outcomes and the complexities of polling subgroups. It highlights potential factors influencing voter sentiment towards Trump and Biden, such as economic concerns and policy preferences. The discussion also covers the significance of timing in interpreting polls, advising against premature conclusions before the campaign intensifies post Labor Day.

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