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5min chapter
Rational soothsaying
Think with Pinker
Introduction
stephen pinker: How can we make sense of making sense? The opposite to day's episode is rational soothsaying. Prediction lies in the very core of rationality. A few percentage points of accuracy in predicting financial markets can mean the difference between making a killing and losing your shirt. Barb mellers, university professor of psychology; thomas freedman, foreign affairs columnist for the new york times. Would you be willing to share some prediction s that you regret with us first followed by a story behind it? I'l say i don't actually see myself as a predictor - then we had a chance of getting more out of a pluralistic roc c.
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