Exploring the impact of Bayesian theorem on prediction and intelligence, emphasizing the importance of constant adjustment based on new evidence and the significance of confidence levels over certainty.
We’re talking big moves and Big Oil as earnings season continues.
At (00:21) Jason Hall and Deidre Woollard break down Peloton’s CEO shift and Big Oil’s big profits.
At (16:40) Tom Chivers, author of Everything Is Predictable, explains how the Bayesian theorem underlies much of modern life and investing.
Companies discussed: PTON, SHEL, XOM, COP
Host: Deidre Woollard
Guests: Jason Hall, Tom Chivers
Producer: Ricky Mulvey, Chace Przylepa
Engineers: Dan Boyd
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