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Talk Your Book: Managing Risk Like an Actuary

Animal Spirits Podcast

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Evaluating Company Performance Against Market Cycles

This chapter examines the significance of analyzing a company's historical performance to forecast its future potential, rather than solely depending on market trends. The discussion includes the use of regression analysis and real-world examples, notably Cisco in the late 1990s, to highlight discrepancies between predicted growth and actual results, with a hint about Tesla's situation.

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