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Joe Carlsmith on How We Change Our Minds About AI Risk

Future of Life Institute Podcast

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The Risk From Extinction Is 15%

Do you think we'll then see a 2023 update saying perhaps now the risk from extinction is 15% or do you think you're moving in that direction? The thing I threw in there was actually, I think it's greater than 10%. And I left this sort of frustratingly ambiguous and people have been like, what do you mean greater like that? Do you spend any time thinking about how wonderful things could become if we survive and if we have aligned AGI? Or is this perhaps a bad way to spend your time if we are in a very important time in human history.

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