Six Reasons to Do Lots of AI Research Now

The limiting resource will be compute, that is how many millions of dollars you want to spend building giant supercomputers to train AIs on. Compute grows slowly and conspicuously, if you've just spent 100 million dollars on giant computers to train AI, it will take a while before you can gather a billion dollars to spend on even giant computers. If terrorists or rogue AIs are gathering a billion dollars and ordering a giant computer from NVIDIA, probably people will stop and notice them. On the other hand, if we do very little AI research now, we might not pick all the low hanging fruit, and we might miss ways to get better performance out of smaller amounts of compute. Then