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Judea Pearl: Causal Reasoning, Counterfactuals, Bayesian Networks, and the Path to AGI

Lex Fridman Podcast

CHAPTER

Metaphors and Causal Thinking in Intelligence

This chapter explores the crucial role of metaphors in human intelligence and learning, illustrating how they help map unfamiliar problems to familiar contexts. It contrasts Greek and Babylonian thought, discusses the advancements in causal reasoning, and emphasizes a transformative shift in understanding causality, with significant implications for machine learning. Additionally, the chapter examines the challenges of reasoning by metaphor and the structured approach needed for evaluating cause-effect relationships, particularly in medical fields.

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