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10/12/2022: MLB, CFB, NFL, Poe, Dennehy & Naughton

Wharton Moneyball

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The Parametrical Bootstrap, Is It Really Important?

The parametric bootstrap is essentially the usual sort of frequentist way of simulating these things. So certainly you don't have to be a Bayesian and have a posterior distribution to propagate forward the uncertainty or parameters. And simulations are things that increasingly people are doing on, you know, in the basements of their own home. This is a common method. And a lot of folks aren't getting it right.

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