Political Forecasting and Media Integrity

This chapter explores the complexities of political modeling and its reliability in predicting upcoming elections, emphasizing the need for transparency and trust in these forecasts. It critiques existing electoral models, particularly regarding Biden's prospects, while highlighting historical inaccuracies in polling data from prior elections. The discussion also addresses media biases and the challenges of maintaining journalistic integrity amid shifting political landscapes, questioning the public's perception and implications for candidate viability.