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384 | Peter Turchin: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path to Political Disintegration

The Realignment

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The Political Prognosis of the United States Over the Next 10 Years

The best case scenario is that we will be able to reverse the trends that have been driving. the rise of instability in the United States, he says. The pre-crisis periods are nearly always characterized by elite overproduction, writes David Frum. "We're going to get into a bunch of pessimistic places," Dr. Frum adds.

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