One Couple’s Vacation Caused 100,000 People to Die
The Michael Shermer Show
00:00
Unpredictability of Human Behavior and the Limitations of Forecasting
The speakers explore the unpredictable nature of human behavior and draw parallels to the challenges of predicting suicide, mass public shooters, and societal events. They critique the overemphasis on aggregate data and highlight the importance of understanding individual motivations and events. Additionally, they discuss the limitations of forecasting in the stock market, elections, weather forecasts, and social change, emphasizing the need for transparency and incorporating different sources of information.
Transcript
Play full episode
