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The High Yield Spreads Haven't Blown Out Much Yet
Stephen Moore: I don't think that we're going to hit 8.9% in CPI again, but we might be at a steady, you know, six to seven percent which is still bad. He says there's just so much demand for yield even though the spread should be about 200 basis points over what they are. Moore: Spread really has more to do with demand as well; it will blow out when defaults pick up.
IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:
00:00 - Intro
01:37 - What's the mastermind's thoughts on FTX and SBF?
10:22 - What's happening with Gemini, DCG, Genesis, & GBTC?
14:37 - What's the group's thoughts on Binance?
15:04 - Why is a risk assessment of counterparts risk so important?
15:04 - Thoughts on liquidity and how to use it to understand volatility limits.
22:30 - An overview of Fixed Income Markets and High Yield Debt.
41:39 - Thoughts on inflation and what it might trend towards in 2023.
58:16 - The 30-year versus the 3-month and what that means for FED policy moving forward.
01:15:46 - Is China demand coming back online?
01:25:33 - What potentially causes a final capitulation for this cycle (will there even be one)?
01:31:05 - What to expect from the price of Bitcoin in 2023.
Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences.
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