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Episode 31: Post-FOMC/SVB Analysis

Guggenheim Macro Markets

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The Fed's Decision to Hike Interest Rates

The biggest decision for us and really the hardest unknown here is about curve shape. History shows that it's generally when the Fed executes its first cut, that that's the time when curves will start to steepen. This cycle, it may have been pulled forward and the market may be getting ahead of the Fed from here. So we're strategically leaning longer duration, although tactically, you really have to respect the volatility that we're seeing right now.

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