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Fed Faces "Debt Death Spiral" While Inflation Soars | Luke Gromen & Jim Bianco

Forward Guidance

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The Implications of a Recession

It's been 100 years since you've seen developed market balance sheets look the way they have, really since in the aftermath of World War I. Historically, the US has not gone into a recession in at least 50 years with US deficits below roughly 2.5% of GDP. And we haven't had a recession in the US other than the March 2020 recession.

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