4min chapter

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley cover image

Tariffs Could Blow Up the Bond Market | Mark Zandi on the Biggest Risk to the Economy

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

CHAPTER

Analyzing Recession Risks Amid Consumer Debt Dynamics

This chapter delves into the evaluation of recession probabilities, featuring an expert's insight that suggests a 25% chance of recession in the next year amidst a strong economy. It highlights the impact of economic policies and consumer debt trends, particularly focusing on increasing credit card delinquency rates while noting improvements among households overall.

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