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SI310: The Illusion of Backtests and True Drivers of Price ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

CHAPTER

Navigating Market Volatility and Backtesting Strategies

This chapter examines the current market calmness and potential volatility, emphasizing the importance of defensive trading positions and robust trend-following strategies. It discusses the complexities of backtesting, advocating for out-of-sample testing to avoid overfitting and to better prepare traders for unpredictable market conditions. The conversation highlights the necessity of realistic performance evaluations and the challenges faced by traders in adapting to live market scenarios.

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